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4, Apr 2019
MLB Thursday Weather: Be Wary of Angelic Breezes in Anaheim

It’s not often that you see a baseball game postponed the day before the game. It’s even less often that two baseball games are postponed the day before the game, but that’s what happened yesterday when today’s Mariners-White Sox and Padres-Cardinals games were called early. Saves me some work and saves…

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7, Mar 2019
Conference Tournament Betting Tip: Recent ATS Results Point to Value

Historically, public bettors tend to wager on teams that have been covering the spread and fade those that haven’t. It’s basic human nature to believe that something will continue to happen because it has in the past. In fact, according to Bet Labs, since 2005, teams that have covered at…

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28, Feb 2019
Is It Actually Profitable to Bet Overs in the NBA? Testing Bill Simmons’ Theory

Scoring is up in the NBA. Teams are averaging 110.9 points per game, the most since the 1984-85 season when they averaged 110.8 points. Increased pace and efficiency are contributing factors. Teams are also averaging 100.1 possessions per 48 minutes, which is the 16th most in NBA history. Players have…

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21, Feb 2019
History Against Bucks Continuing to Cover After the All-Star Break

The Milwaukee Bucks (43-14) have the best record in the NBA, rank fifth in offensive efficiency, first in defensive efficiency and lead the league in point differential (+9.8). All-Star Giannis Antetokounmpo (+170) is one of the favorites to win the NBA MVP and at +1000 odds, there is valuing betting…

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21, Feb 2019
NBA Betting Tip: Bet Overs After the All-Star Break

Last season, NBA games averaged 212.6 points. In the two days after the All-Star break the scoring averaged jumped to 224.1 points. The increased scoring led to overs going 10-6-1 in those contests. Was this random, or is there a reason why scoring would be up post-All-Star break? My theory…